Rick Griffin

Recent Posts

No Surprise: Rising Interest Rates, Climbing Home Prices

Posted by Rick Griffin on May 18, 2022 10:30:00 AM

MARCH MEDIAN HOME PRICE HITS $950K, A 1-YEAR JUMP OF $150K

California home sales retreated slightly in April 2022 even as interest rates rose and the statewide median home price set another record, according to the latest home sales and price report from the California Association of REALTORS® (C.A.R.).

The statewide median home price in April 2022 was $884,890, up 4.2 percent from the March 2022 price of $849,080 and up 8.7 percent from the April 2021 price of $814,010. The April 2022 statewide median home price set another record, surpassing the previous record set in March 2022.

The year-over-year increase was the smallest since June 2020, but it was strong enough to establish a new peak price for the state. The month-to-month percent change was higher than the long-run average of 2.3 percent recorded between the months of March and April over the last 43 years. 

In San Diego in April 2022, the median home price approached the $1 million mark. The April 2022 median home price was $975,000, a 2.6 percent increase from the $950,000 price in March 2022 and 8.2 percent higher from the year-ago price of $825,120 in April 2021, marking an increase of about $150,000 in one year. The median represents a price where half the homes sell above and half below.

April 2022 County Sales and Price Activity
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)

April 2022 County Sales and Price Activity

Home sales in April 2022 on a statewide basis were down 1.9 percent compared to March 2022, when 426,970 homes were sold, and down 8.5 percent from a year ago in April 2021, when 458,170 homes were sold on an annual basis.

Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California totaled a seasonally-adjusted annualized rate of 419,040 in April 2022, according to information collected by C.A.R. from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations and MLSs statewide. The statewide annualized sales figure represents what would be the total number of homes sold during 2022 if sales maintained the April pace throughout the year. It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales.

The month-to-month April sales decline is in line with the long-run change of minus 1.6 percent recorded between March and April. However, the annual statewide sales drop between April 2022 and April 2021 was the biggest decline in the past four months. On a year-to-date basis, home sales were down 7.4 percent in April 2022.

In San Diego, home sales in April 2022 were lower in month-over-month and year-over-year comparisons. San Diego home sales in April 2022 were down 1.3 percent, compared to March 2022, and down 12.6 percent compared to a year ago in April 2021.

“As rates remain on the rise, the sense of urgency to buy is keeping the market highly competitive, especially since housing inventory continues to stay well below pre-pandemic levels,” said C.A.R. President Otto Catrina, a Bay Area real estate broker and REALTOR®. “While we will likely see more listings come on to the market as we move further into the home-buying season, the housing shortage issue will likely persist throughout the rest of the year in major metropolitan areas, such as the Bay Area and the Southern California region.” 

“California’s housing market is moderating from the 12-year-high levels experienced in 2021, as higher mortgage interest rates and soaring home prices are starting to have an adverse impact on housing demand,” said C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Jordan Levine. “With April pending home sales recording the worst drop in two years, the affordability challenges that buyers have been encountering are materializing in recent sales trends, and further declines in housing demand could continue in the second half of the year.”

A change in the mix of sales continues to play a role in statewide record-setting home prices as sales in high-priced markets remain stronger than their more affordable counterparts. The share of million-dollar home sales increased for the third consecutive month, reaching the highest level on record at 34.7 percent.

Meanwhile, home sales priced below $500,000 dipped again in April and hit the lowest level ever. Sales dropped by double-digits for price segments $750,000 and below, while sales above $2 million remained on the rise on a year-over-year basis. The shift in the mix of sales toward high-end homes is expected to persist in the upcoming months. 

Other key points from C.A.R.’s April 2022 resale housing report included:

-- At the regional level, home sales in all major California regions declined from a year ago, with three of the five regions falling by double-digits on a year-over-year basis. The San Francisco Bay Area (-18.1 percent) and Southern California (-16.0 percent) were two major regions with sales declines exceeding 10 percent from a year ago.

-- Home prices in all major regions in the state surged from last year by double digits. The San Francisco Bay Area recorded the highest year-over-year price growth with an increase of 15.9 percent, followed by the Central Valley (14.9 percent), the Central Coast (13.4 percent) and Southern California (11.7 percent).

-- At the county level, home prices continued to rise across the state, with 26 counties in California setting new record median highs in April 2022.

-- California’s unsold inventory of homes improved slightly in April 2022 at 1.8 months, compared to 1.7 months in March 2022 and 1.6 months in April 2021. The number of active listings surged more than 20 percent on a year-over-year basis and recorded the highest yearly growth in properties for sale since January 2019. Active listings in April climbed to the highest level in seven months.

-- In San Diego, the inventory of available homes for sales in April 2022 was 1.6 months, compared to 1.4 months in March 2022, 1.5 months in February 2022 and January 2022 and 1.5 months in April 2021. Inventory levels from previous months in 2021 included: December, 1.0; November, 1.3; October, 1.5; September, 1.6; August, 1.7; July, 1.7. Inventory levels indicate the number of months it would take for the available supply of homes on the market to sell-out given the current rate of sales.

April 2022 County Unsold Inventory and Days on Market
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)

April 2022 County Unsold Inventory and Days on Market

-- The median number of days it took to sell an existing, single-family home in San Diego County in April 2022 was 7 days, compared to 7 days in March and February 2022, 9 days in January 2022 and 6 days in April 2021. Numbers from previous months in 2021 included: December, 8; November, 9; October, 9; September, 9; August, 8; July, 7; June, 6; May, 7; April, 6. The median represents a time when half the homes sell above it and half below it.

-- Statewide, the median number of days it took to sell a California single-family home in April 2022 was 8 days, compared to 8 days in March 2022, 9 days in February 2022, 12 days in January 2022 and 7 days in April 2021. Numbers from previous months in 2021 included: December, 12; November, 11; October, 11; September, 10.

-- The statewide median sales-price-to-list-price ratio remained above 100 percent at 104.2 percent in April 2022, compared to 103.3 percent in March 2022, 102.6 percent in February 2022 and 103.3 percent in April 2021. Sales-to-list-price ratio is an indicator that reflects the negotiation power of home buyers and sellers under current market conditions. The ratio, expressed as a percentage, is calculated by dividing the final sales price of a property by its last list price. A sales-to-list ratio with 100 percent or above suggests that the property sold for more than the list price, while a ratio below 100 percent indicates that the price sold below the asking price.

-- The 30-year, fixed-mortgage interest rate averaged 4.98 percent in April, up from 3.06 percent in April 2021, according to Freddie Mac. The five-year, adjustable mortgage interest rate averaged 3.70 percent, compared to 2.81 percent in April 2021.

Topics: Brokers/Managers, Market Information

MARCH MEDIAN HOME PRICE HITS $950K, A 1-YEAR JUMP OF $150K

Posted by Rick Griffin on Apr 12, 2022 10:00:00 AM

MARCH MEDIAN HOME PRICE HITS $950K, A 1-YEAR JUMP OF $150K

Housing demand in California remained strong in March 2022 as home sales ticked higher and the statewide median price set another all-time high, primarily due to a surge in sales of higher-priced homes. However, the effects of rising interest rates have yet to be borne out, according to the latest home sales and price report released on April 19 by the California Association of REALTORS® (C.A.R.).

The number of closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes statewide on a seasonally adjusted annualized rate totaled 426,970 in March 2022, which was up 0.5 percent from the February 2022 total of 424,460, and down 4.4 percent from March 2021, when 446,410 homes were sold on an annualized basis.

March 2022’s statewide year-over-year sales decrease was the ninth straight decline and the smallest in eight months. Year-to-date statewide home sales were down 7.0 percent in March.

The statewide annualized sales figures, collected from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations and MLSs statewide, represent what would be the total number of homes sold during 2022 if sales maintained the March pace throughout the year. It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales.

In San Diego, home sales in March 2022 were higher in a month-over-month comparison and lower in a year-over-year comparison. San Diego home sales in March 2022 were up 34 percent, compared to February 2022, but were down 2.2 percent compared to March 2021.

March 2022 County Sales and Price Activity
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)
March 2022 County Sales and Price Activity

Meanwhile, the California median home price rose above the $800,000 benchmark for the first time in six months. California’s median home price reached a new record high in March 2022 at $849,080, surpassing the previous record of $827,940 set in August 2021.

The March 2022 price was 11.9 percent higher than the $758,990 posted in March 2021. The month-to-month percent change in median price was the highest pace since March 2013. The 10.1 percent month-to-month increase in March 2022 from the February 2022 price of $771,270 was the first time in nine years that the monthly price increase reached double-digits.

A surge in sales at the top end of the market was the primary factor for the jump in the statewide median price at the end of the 2022 first quarter. The share of million-dollar home sales increased for the second consecutive month, surging to 32.9 percent in March 2022, the highest level on record.

Additionally, strong month-to-month sales growth in the San Francisco Bay area contributed to the jump in sales of million-dollar homes statewide, as 70 percent of the region’s sales were priced above $1 million, and sales in the region increased 70.5 percent from February 2022. 

Home prices are expected to edge higher as the market continues in the spring homebuying season over the next few months.

In San Diego in March 2022, the median sales price for an existing, single-family detached home was $950,000, a 7.0 percent increase from the $888,000 price in February 2022. The March 2022 median price also was 18.8 percent higher than a year ago at $800,000 in March 2021, marking an increase of $150,000 in one year.

“With homes still selling at a rapid clip and more homes selling above asking price than last summer when prices were at record highs, California’s housing market continues to perform remarkably well as buyers enter the market to get ahead of rising mortgage interest rates,” said C.A.R. President Otto Catrina, a Bay Area real estate broker, and REALTOR®. “An increase in active listings for the first time since prior to the pandemic should give consumers more options and alleviate some of the upward pressure on home prices, which bodes well for prospective buyers.”

“March sales data continues to suggest strong buying interest and a solid housing market, as the effects of higher mortgage interest rates won’t be realized for a few more months,” said C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Jordan Levine. “With the Federal Reserve expected to announce two back-to-back half-point interest rate hikes in May and June to combat inflation, interest rates will be elevated for the foreseeable future, adversely affecting housing demand and lowering housing affordability in the coming months, but the effects may not be visible until the second half of the year as many of the homes that are, or will be, the closing was negotiated before the sharp increase in rates.”

Other key points from C.A.R.’s March 2022 resale housing report include:

-- At the regional level, all major regions except the Central Valley recorded a decrease in sales on a year-over-year basis. The Central Coast region recorded the sharpest sales decline of all regions again, dropping 20.1 percent from a year ago. The Far North had the second-largest sales decline at 7.7 percent, followed by Southern California (-7.5 percent) and the San Francisco Bay Area (-2.7 percent). Sales in the Central Valley increased for the second straight month with a year-over-year increase of 2.8 percent.

-- Home prices in all major regions in the state continued to surge from last year by double-digits, with four of them reaching a new record high in March. The Central Coast region recorded the highest year-over-year price growth with a 20.4 percent increase, followed by the Central Valley (19.3 percent), the San Francisco Bay Area (17.9 percent), and Southern California (13.8 percent), and the Far North (12.9 percent).

-- At the county level, home prices continued to increase across the state, with 25 counties setting new record highs in March. Forty-six out of fifty-one counties tracked by C.A.R. experienced increases in their median prices in March, with 38 of them rising more than 10 percent from a year ago.

-- California’s unsold inventory of homes in March 2022 remained unchanged from a year ago at 1.7 months, marking the first time in nearly two years the index did not decline on a year-over-year basis.  Inventory levels indicate the number of months it would take for the available supply of homes on the market to sell out given the current rate of sales.

March 2022 County Unsold Inventory and Days on Market
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)
March 2022 County Unsold Inventory and Days on Market

-- In San Diego, the inventory of available homes for sales in March 2022 was 1.4 months, compared to 1.5 months in February 2022, January 2022, and March 2021. Inventory levels from previous months in 2021 included: December, 1.0; November, 1.3; October, 1.5; September, 1.6; August, 1.7; July, 1.7.

-- The median number of days it took to sell an existing, single-family home in San Diego County in March 2022 was 7 days, compared to 7 days in February 2022, 9 days in January 2022, and 6 days in March 2021. Numbers from previous months in 2021 included: December, 8; November, 9; October, 9; September, 9; August, 8; July, 7; June, 6; May, 7; April, 6. The median represents a time when half the homes sell above it and half below it.

-- Statewide, the median number of days it took to sell a California single-family home in March 2022 was 8 days, compared to 9 days in February 2022, 12 days in January 2022, and 8 days in March 2021. Numbers from previous months in 2021 included: December, 12; November, 11; October, 11; September, 10.

-- The statewide median sales-price-to-list-price ratio remained above 100 percent at 103.9 percent in March 2022, 102.6 percent in February 2022, and 102.2 percent in March 2021. Sales-to-list-price ratio is an indicator that reflects the negotiation power of home buyers and sellers under current market conditions. The ratio, expressed as a percentage, is calculated by dividing the final sales price of a property by its last list price. A sales-to-list ratio of 100 percent or above suggests that the property sold for more than the list price, while a ratio below 100 percent indicates that the price sold below the asking price.

-- The 30-year, fixed-mortgage interest rate averaged 4.17 percent in March, up from 3.08 percent in March 2021, according to Freddie Mac. The five-year, adjustable mortgage interest rate averaged 3.19 percent, compared to 2.78 percent in March 2021.

Topics: Brokers/Managers, Market Information

REGISTER TO VOTE: It’s the best thing you can do for your business.

Posted by Rick Griffin on Mar 18, 2022 3:30:43 PM

REGISTER TO VOTE

Real estate professionals need to exercise their right to vote in the upcoming election. Every vote counts!

80% of REALTORS® are registered to vote, but we can do better! Join the effort and become an active participant in the political process … REGISTER TO VOTE. 

Politicians are making decisions that affect your business. Make sure that your voice is heard before decisions are made in Washington, California, and in San Diego County.

When REALTORS® vote, elected officials notice. Registering to vote is easy, but you must act quickly! If you are not already registered to vote, you can download a registration form here - www.realtorsvote.org

_____________________________________

PSAR Government Affairs (GA) Committee members were recently asked about the importance of voting. Below are their comments (names appear in alphabetical order, some quotes were edited for clarity).

“Our committee is made up of Republicans, Democrats, Independents, and others. We research, conduct interviews, review questionnaires, and our decisions are primarily based upon the notion of property rights, expanding homeownership, rights of tenants, and the rights of owners of commercial and rental properties. We will endorse candidates whom we feel the best support these values over their opponents. It’s important to elect leaders who will work with REALTORS®. We all have our own choices of candidates, but we hope by supporting pro-real estate candidates and propositions, it might help influence voters who agree with us that property rights and the expansion of homeownership are essential to all Americans.” -- Mike Anderson (Lakeside)

“Democracy is vital to real estate. If people don't vote, then it’s the corporations and banks that set policy that affects your ability to buy a home. When you vote, you make your voice heard. Be a voice for our communities where we can work towards a country where everyone has the opportunity to be a homeowner.” -- Deirdre Bramberg (La Mesa)

“It is a civic duty to vote and every single vote makes a difference. As a citizen of the country, the right to vote is one of the freedoms the county gives its people. It is a chance for our voice to be heard and an opportunity to select the leaders we believe have the ability to represent us in our government.” -- Merrie Espina. (Chula Vista)

“Each PSAR member should exercise their right and obligation to vote. In this election, as in most elections, your future earnings, your tax obligations, and the laws that enable or hobble our industry are all in play. PSAR, C.A.R., and NAR can all be influential as supporting organizations, focusing on critical policy issues. But, in the final analysis, it is your individual vote and the power of our collective votes that will select our elected officials and establish the policies that impact our lives and our business environment for years to come.” -- William Hall (Chula Vista)

“Voting is how we convey our desires for change. Please exercise your right to vote with the goal of making a better today and tomorrow for us all.” -- Paul Moses (Chula Vista)

“I am involved in Government Affairs and I try to be as active as I can be in politics is because it does have an impact on our industry. One can be part of the problem or the solution. I can stand by and complain or I can do what I can do to act.  Rome was not built in a day, and as we all know California has its issues that have a direct impact on our business. Be impactful and relevant. It’s common sense, do nothing and one can only expect nothing. So, why not be relevant and do something.” -- Rebecca Pollack-Rude (El Cajon)

_______________________________

PSAR's Mission is to empower Real Estate Professionals

Since 1928, the Pacific Southwest Association of REALTORS® has played a significant role in shaping the history, growth & development of the Real Estate industry in San Diego County.

Topics: Announcements, Government Affairs

HOUSING MARKET STILL SOLID DESPITE HIGHER RATES, RUSSIAN-NATO WAR

Posted by Rick Griffin on Mar 15, 2022 12:00:00 PM

Housing Market Still Solid Despite Higher Rates, Russian-NATO War

California’s housing market continued to maintain a solid sales pace in February 2022, despite higher interest rates and geopolitical uncertainty caused by the Russia-NATO conflict in Ukraine, according to the latest home sales and price report from the California Association of REALTORS® (C.A.R.).

The number of homes sold statewide in February was lower than last year’s unusually strong market. The number of closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes statewide on a seasonally adjusted annualized rate totaled 424,640 in February 2022, which was down 4.5 percent from January 2022, when 444,540 homes were sold on an annualized basis, and down 8.2 percent from February 2021, when 462,720 homes were sold on an annualized basis.

The year-over-year sales decrease between February 2022 and February 2021 was the eighth straight decline and the smallest in seven months. Year-to-date statewide home sales were down 8.3 percent in February 2022.

The statewide annualized sales figure, collected from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations and MLSs statewide, represents what would be the total number of homes sold during 2022 if sales maintained the February pace throughout the year. It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales.

In San Diego, home sales in February 2022 were higher in a month-over-month comparison and lower in a year-over-year comparison. San Diego home sales in February 2022 were up 7.3 percent, compared to January 2022, but were down 5.6 percent lower compared to February 2021.

February 2022 County Sales and Price Activity
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)
February 2022 County Sales and Price Activity

Meanwhile, the California median home price was below the $800,000 benchmark for the fifth straight month, although home prices are continuing to increase from the prior year and pick up momentum.

The statewide median price inched up to $771,270 in February 2022, up 0.7 percent from $765,610 in January 2022, and up 10.3 percent from the $699,000 recorded in February 2021.

The stronger-than-expected growth in the statewide median price is attributed partly to a change in the mix of sales toward homes in the million-dollar price range, as sales jumped in higher-priced regions, including the Central Coast and the San Francisco Bay Area.

Prices are expected to edge higher as the market moves into the spring homebuying season over the next few months.

In San Diego, the median sales price for an existing, single-family detached home was $888,000 in February 2022, a 1.5 percent increase compared to the $875,000 price in January 2022. The February median price was 16.1 percent higher than a year ago at $765,000 in February 2021, marking an increase of $110,000 in one year.

February 2022 County Unsold Inventory and Days on Market
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)
February 2022 County Unsold Inventory and Days on Market

“Despite higher mortgage rates, California’s housing market is holding up remarkably strong, with home prices reaccelerating, market competition growing, and signs that the listings crunch is thawing,” said C.A.R. President Otto Catrina, a Bay Area real estate broker, and REALTOR®. “Prospective buyers are taking advantage of still-low rates before they move higher and getting a jump on the competition before the start of the spring homebuying season.”

“While home sales declined from both the previous month and year, February’s sales pace was still the second-highest sales level for a February in the last 10 years and strong relative to pre-pandemic levels of 2018 and 2019,” said C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Jordan Levine. “However, the invasion of Ukraine has created geopolitical headwinds and pushed up inflation a notch, which may keep mortgage rates elevated and cause the housing market to retreat amid the uncertainty.”

At an index of 67 in February, C.A.R.’s monthly Consumer Housing Sentiment Index dropped 2 points from last month as consumers acknowledged the current market challenges and felt increasingly pessimistic about home-buying opportunities. Consumers who thought it was a “good time to buy” dropped to 16 percent in February from 19 percent last month and from 28 points last year. Still, one in every four consumers is holding out hope that it will be easier to find a home in the next 12 months while nearly two in every three believe that home prices will rise over the same period of time.

Other key points from C.A.R.’s February 2022 resale housing report include:

-- At the regional level, all major regions except the Central Valley recorded a decrease in sales on a year-over-year basis, but lower-priced areas continued to fare better than higher-priced areas in the Golden State. The Central Coast region had the sharpest decline of all regions, with sales in February dropping 16.3 percent from a year ago. However, to put things into perspective, housing demand was abnormally strong early last year with sales in February 2021 surging 22.4 percent from the prior year. The San Francisco Bay Area and Southern California also experienced a double-digit or a near double-digit sales loss of 13.7 percent and 9.9 percent, respectively, in February 2022.

-- More than 70 percent of all counties tracked by C.A.R. experienced a dip in existing home sales from a year ago, with 24 counties declining more than 10 percent on a year-over-year basis.

-- Home prices continued to grow in all major regions in the state, with all five posting double-digit year-over-year gains in their median price. The San Francisco Bay Area recorded the highest year-over-year price gain at a 15.9 percent increase, followed by the Central Valley (14.8 percent), Southern California (12.6 percent), the Far North (11.9 percent), and the Central Coast (10.1 percent).

-- Despite slower price growth due to rising mortgage rates, home prices continued to increase across the state, with 24 California counties setting new record high median prices in February 2022.

-- California’s unsold inventory of homes index rose in February 2022 to its highest level in three months. The February 2022 figure was 2.0 months, compared to 1.8 months in January 2022, 1.2 months in December 2021, and 2.1 months in February 2021. The December 2021 figure of 1.2 months was the lowest level on record since CAR began tracking this figure in July 1988. Inventory levels indicate the number of months it would take for the available supply of homes on the market to sell-out given the current rate of sales.

-- In San Diego, the inventory of available homes for sales in February 2022 was at 1.5 months, the same figure in January 2022 and 1.8 months in February 2021. Inventory levels from previous months in 2021 included: December, 1.0; November, 1.3; October, 1.5; September, 1.6; August, 1.7; July, 1.7.

-- The median number of days it took to sell an existing, single-family home in San Diego County in February 2022 was 7 days, compared to 9 days in January 2022 and 7 days in February 2021. Numbers from previous months in 2021 included: December, 8; November, 9; October, 9; September, 9; August, 8; July, 7; June, 6; May, 7; April, 6. The median represents a time when half the homes sell above it and half below it.

-- Statewide, the median number of days it took to sell a California single-family home in February 2022 was 9 days, compared to 12 days in January 2022 and 10 days in February 2021. Numbers from previous months in 2021 included: December, 12; November, 11; October, 11; September, 10.

-- The statewide median sales-price-to-list-price ratio remained above 100 percent at 102.6 percent in February 2022 and 101.0 percent in February 2021. Sales-to-list-price ratio is an indicator that reflects the negotiation power of home buyers and sellers under current market conditions. The ratio, expressed as a percentage, is calculated by dividing the final sales price of a property by its last list price. A sales-to-list ratio with 100 percent or above suggests that the property sold for more than the list price, while a ratio below 100 percent indicates that the price sold below the asking price.

-- The 30-year, fixed-mortgage interest rate averaged 3.76 percent in February, up from 2.81 percent in February 2021, according to Freddie Mac. The five-year, adjustable mortgage interest rate averaged 2.87 percent, compared to 2.83 percent in February 2021.

Topics: Brokers/Managers, Market Information

HOUSING MARKET REMAINS RESILIENT DESPITE RISING INTEREST RATES

Posted by Rick Griffin on Feb 8, 2022 10:00:00 AM

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California’s housing market kicked off the new year in January 2022 with a bounce back from December’s four-month low, as housing demand remained strong, according to the latest home sales and price report from the California Association of REALTORS® (C.A.R.).

The number of closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes statewide on a seasonally adjusted annualized rate was up 3.4 percent in January 2022 to 444,450, compared to 429,860 in December. The January 2022 sales pace was down 8.3 percent from a year ago when 484,760 homes were sold on an annualized basis. The year-over-year sales decrease was the seventh straight decline and the smallest in six months.

The statewide annualized sales figure, collected from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations and MLSs statewide, represents what would be the total number of homes sold during 2022 if sales maintained the January pace throughout the year. It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales.

In San Diego, home sales in January 2022 were lower in month-over-month and year-over-year comparisons. San Diego home sales in January 2022 declined 28.2 percent, compared to December 2021, and were 6.7 percent lower than January 2021.

January 2022 County Sales and Price Activity
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)
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Meanwhile, the California median home price dipped below the $800,000 benchmark for the fourth straight month as the seasonal slowdown continued. Home prices continued to decelerate as a shift in the mix of sales toward less expensive homes. The statewide median price declined to $765,580 in January, down 3.9 percent from December’s $796,580, and was up 9.4 percent from the $699,920 recorded in January 2021. While January marked the first time since July 2020 that the state did not record a double-digit annual gain in its median price, the statewide median price is expected to edge higher as the market moves into the spring homebuying season in the next few months.

In San Diego, the median sales price for an existing, single-family detached home was $875,000 in January 2022, a 4.6 percent increase compared to the $836,700 price in December 2021. The January median price was 19.9 percent higher than a year ago at $730,000 in January 2021, more than a $100,000 increase in one year.

“The buoyant housing market continues in 2022 as buyers returned from the holiday season to take advantage of the still favorable lending environment before interest rates climb further,” said C.A.R. President Otto Catrina, a Bay Area real estate broker, and REALTOR®. “With prices leveling off, housing supply showing a slight improvement and competition easing during the off-season, buyers who missed the opportunity to buy were eager to get back to the market at the start of the new year.”

“It’s encouraging to see the market momentum from the last two years being carried forward into 2022 and the economy continuing to recover. January’s sales remained above pre-pandemic levels, and new purchase mortgage applications are still registering strong numbers,” said C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Jordan Levine. “However, a surge in interest rates in the past few weeks is concerning and will likely create affordability headwinds for buyers, which may result in housing demand being curtailed in the upcoming months.”

Other key points from C.A.R.’s January 2022 resale housing report include:

-- At the regional level, nearly all major regions in California recorded a decrease in sales on a year-over-year basis. The San Francisco Bay Area had the biggest year-over-year sales decline of all regions at -22.3 percent. Central Coast (-20.7 percent) and Southern California (-10.1 percent) also experienced double-digit sales losses in January.

-- Home prices continued to grow in all five major regions in the state, with all five of them recording double-digit annual price increases in January. The Central Valley region had the highest year-over-year price gain with a 17.5 percent increase, followed by the San Francisco Bay Area (14.3 percent) and Southern California (13.8 percent).

-- Home prices, in general, continue to rise across the state, with 45 counties showing a year-over-year increase in median price in January.

-- Market competitiveness was less heated than a few months ago but remained elevated in January 2022. Nearly three-fifths of homes (57.3 percent) still sold above the asking price in the latest monthly report but was the lowest level in 11 months. January was the 16th consecutive month since September 2020 that more than half of the homes sold above the asking price.

-- While the statewide median sales-price-to-list-price ratio remained above 100 percent, the January 2022 figure was the lowest level since February 2021. The sales-to-list-price ratio is an indicator that reflects the negotiation power of home buyers and sellers under current market conditions. The ratio, expressed as a percentage, is calculated by dividing the final sales price of a property by its last list price. A sales-to-list ratio with 100 percent or above suggests that the property sold for more than the list price, while a ratio below 100 percent indicates that the price sold below the asking price.

-- California’s unsold inventory of homes was 1.8 months in January 2022, compared to 1.2 months in December 2021 and 2.0 months in January 2021. The December 2021 figure of 1.2 months was the lowest level on record since CAR began tracking this figure in July 1988. Active listings statewide were down 24.1 percent from last year. Inventory levels indicate the number of months it would take for the available supply of homes on the market to sell out given the current rate of sales.

-- The inventory of available homes for sale in San Diego County in January 2022 was 1.5 months, compared to 1 month in December 2021 and 1.9 months in January 2021. Numbers from previous months in 2021 included: November, 1.3; October, 1.5; September, 1.6; August, 1.7; July, 1.7.

January 2022 County Unsold Inventory and Days on Market
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)

blog_211210_chart2 (1)

-- The median number of days it took to sell an existing, single-family home in San Diego County in January 2022 was nine days, compared to eight days in December 2021 and nine days in November, October and September 2021. A year ago in January 2021, the number was seven days. Numbers from previous months in 2021 included: August, 8; July, 7; June, 6, May, 7; April, 6. The median represents a time when half the homes sell above it and half below it.

-- Statewide, the median number of days it took to sell a California single-family home in January 2022 was 12 days, the same number in December 2021. Numbers from previous months in 2021 included: November, 11; October, 11; September 10. A year ago in January 2021, the number was seven days.

-- The 30-year, fixed-mortgage interest rate averaged 3.45 percent in January, up from 2.74 percent in January 2021, according to Freddie Mac. The five-year, adjustable mortgage interest rate averaged 2.57 percent, compared to 2.87 percent in January 2021.

Topics: Brokers/Managers, Market Information

Jibran Hannaney, PSAR MEMBER, COMMERCIAL BROKER, 1946-2021

Posted by Rick Griffin on Feb 7, 2022 6:01:20 PM
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The PSAR family wishes to extend its condolences, thoughts, and prayers following the passing of PSAR member Jibran Hannaney. He was 75.

Jibran was a frequent attendee at the PSAR East County Pitch Session regularly held on Thursday mornings at the PSAR East County Service Center in El Cajon. He also was active with the PSAR Global Real Estate Council (GREC).

His family said he had worked in real estate sales for the past 10 years and had lived in El Cajon for about 20 years.

Jibran Joseph Hannaney was born in Baghdad on Oct. 29, 1946, to a family with six children, including five daughters and Jibran. He passed on Jan. 26, 2022.

In his mid-30s, he came to the U.S. to attend graduate school as an engineering student at John Hopkins University in Baltimore. In about 1990, he opened his own engineering firm called HEMC Environmental Management Corp., based in El Cajon. He continued to operate the firm until his passing. The firm is multi-licensed in engineering, contracting, business management, and facilities management.

His family said that Mr. Hannaney loved music, life, and laughter, as well as being a father and grandfather. He also loved learning, which attracted him to the real estate profession. No matter what was happening to him in his life, he would never miss an opportunity to make someone else smile. To say that he was widely loved, admired, and cherished in the community is an understatement. Mr. Hannaney is survived by five sisters, two daughters, and two grandsons.

Funeral services will be held at 11 a.m., Thursday, Feb. 10, at St. Peter’s Chaldean Catholic Church, 1627 Jamacha Way, El Cajon.

Burial will take place at Holy Cross Cemetery, 4470 Hilltop Dr., San Diego. A luncheon reception, expected to begin at approximately 1:30 p.m., will be held following the burial at St. Peter’s Chaldean Catholic Church.

His family said memorial donations can be made to any nonprofit assisting Iraqi refugees. One such organization is www.Helpiraq.org, which is operated by Chaldean Catholic Charities.

Jibran GREC 2

Mr. Hanney is joined by members of the PSAR Global Real Estate Council

 

Topics: Announcements, Leadership

STATEWIDE HOUSING MARKET POSTS BEST PERFORMANCE IN DECADE

Posted by Rick Griffin on Jan 16, 2022 10:00:00 AM

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California home sales and prices eased in December as the state’s housing market posted its best performance in more than a decade, according to the latest home sales and price report from the California Association of REALTORS® (C.A.R.).

The number of closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes statewide on a seasonally adjusted annualized rate was down 5.4 percent in December 2021 to 429,860, compared to 454,450 in November 2021. The December 2021 sales pace was down 15.7 percent from a year ago in December 2020, when 509,750 homes were sold on an annualized basis.

The statewide annualized sales figure, collected from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations and MLSs statewide, represents what would be the total number of homes sold during 2021 if sales maintained the November pace throughout the year. It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales.

Despite the sixth straight month for a year-over-year sales decrease for the year as a whole, sales of existing statewide homes maintained a 7.9 percent increase from 2020’s pace on a year-over-year basis.

In San Diego, home sales in December 2021 were lower in month-over-month and year-over-year comparisons. San Diego home sales in December 2021 declined 0.8 percent, compared to November 2021, and were 11.2 percent lower than December 2020.

December 2021 County Sales and Price Activity
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)
County Sales and Price Activity

Meanwhile, the California median home price dipped below the $800,000 benchmark for the third straight month as the seasonal slowdown continued. Despite a deceleration in growth at the end of the year, the statewide median price rose to $796,570 in December, up 1.8 percent from November’s $782,480 and up 11.0 percent from the $717,930 recorded in December 2020.

The double-digit annual price gain was the 17th consecutive month with more than a 10 percent increase since the summer of 2020. The annual increase was also the smallest since July 2020 as the share of high-end homes continued to moderate since July 2021. For the year as a whole, California set a new annual record median price of $786,750, improving 19.3 percent from the prior year.

In San Diego, the median sales price for an existing, single-family detached home in San Diego County was $836,700 in December 2021, a drop of 1.3 percent compared to the $847,750 price in November 2021. The December median price was 14.6 percent higher than a year ago at $730,000 in December 2020, roughly a $100,000 increase in one year.

“Despite signs of moderating in the second half of the year, California’s housing market continued to outperform last year’s level and remained competitive even as home prices rose at a double-digit pace — a testament to the imbalance of high demand and not enough homes on the market for sale,” said 2022 C.A.R. President Otto Catrina, a Bay Area real estate broker and REALTOR®. “For the year as a whole, the market turned in its best performance in more than a decade, as buyers took advantage of historically low-interest rates and continued to value the benefits of homeownership amid another year of the pandemic.”

“The state’s housing market is expected to perform solidly this year as the economy recovers further and consumers’ desire to buy remains elevated,” said C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Jordan Levine. “However, with COVID cases surging and inventory constraints remaining an issue, the housing market will see headwinds of ongoing high inflation, which will put pressure on the Fed to raise rates sooner than previously expected. These factors will increase the cost of borrowing and put more affordability burden on potential homebuyers who want to purchase in 2022.”

Other key points from C.A.R.’s December 2021 resale housing report include:

-- At the regional level, all major regions in California recorded a sale decline on a year-over-year basis by more than 10 percent in December 2021. The sales decline for Southern California at the end of 2021 was 10.7 percent on an annual basis.

-- All major regions posted solid home price gains from a year ago, with four of them recording double-digit, year-over-year median price increases. The Far North outpaced the rest of the state with a 16.6 percent year-over-year gain at the end of the year, followed by Southern California (15.4 percent), the Central Valley (13.9 percent), the San Francisco Bay Area (13.4 percent), and the Central Coast (9.1 percent).

-- Market competitiveness was less heated than a few months ago but remained elevated in December. Nearly three-fifths of homes (58 percent) sold above the asking price, but that was the lowest level in 10 months. December was the 15th consecutive month since September 2020 that more than half of the homes sold above the asking price.

-- While the statewide median sales-price-to-list-price ratio remained above 100 percent, the December number was the lowest level since February 2021. The sales-to-list-price ratio is an indicator that reflects the negotiation power of home buyers and sellers under current market conditions. The ratio, expressed as a percentage, is calculated by dividing the final sales price of a property by its last list price. A sales-to-list ratio with 100 percent or above suggests that the property sold for more than the list price, while a ratio below 100 percent indicates that the price sold below the asking price.

-- The inventory of available homes for sale in San Diego County in December 2021 was 1 month, compared to 1.3 months in November 2021 and 1.2 months a year ago in December 2020. Numbers from previous months in 2021 included: October, 1.5; September, 1.6; August, 1.7; July, 1.7.

-- Statewide, the unsold inventory of homes was 1.2 months in December 2021, compared to 1.6 months in November 2021 and 1.4 months in December 2020. The December 2021 figure of 1.2 months was the lowest level on record since CAR began tracking this figure in July 1988. Active listings statewide were down 24.1 percent from last year. Inventory levels indicate the number of months it would take for the available supply of homes on the market to sell out given the current rate of sales.

December 2021 County Unsold Inventory and Days on Market
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)
County Unsold Inventory and Days on Market

-- The median number of days it took to sell an existing, single-family home in San Diego County in December 2021 was eight days, compared to nine days in November, October, and September 2021. The eight-day timeframe compares to eight days in August, seven days in July, six days in June 2021, seven days in May 2021, and six days in April 2021. A year ago in December 2020, the number was eight days. The median represents a time when half the homes sell above it and half below it.

-- Statewide, the median number of days it took to sell a California single-family home in December 2021 was at 12 days, compared to 11 days in November and October and 10 days in September 2021. A year ago, in December 2020, the number was 11 days.

-- The 30-year, fixed-mortgage interest rate averaged 3.10 percent in December, up from 2.68 percent in December 2020, according to Freddie Mac. The five-year, adjustable mortgage interest rate averaged 2.43 percent, compared to 2.79 percent in December 2020.

Topics: Brokers/Managers, Market Information

TRACY CLARK, PSAR MEMBER, COMMERCIAL BROKER, 1955-2021

Posted by Rick Griffin on Jan 3, 2022 8:49:00 PM

blog_image_Tracy_Clark-2The PSAR family wishes to extend its condolences, thoughts and prayers with the sad announcement of the passing of Tracy Clark, a great man of faith, honesty and integrity.

A longtime PSAR member, Mr. Clark served as a commercial real estate broker for 34 years in the San Diego community. He served as senior vice president with Voit Real Estate Services, specializing in office, retail and investment properties. He served with Voit for 31 years. His family recalled one of his favorite sayings: “It’s a great day to be in commercial real estate.”

A Celebration of Life service will be held at 11:30 a.m., Friday, Jan. 14 at Awaken Church, 7620 Balboa Ave., San Diego. Burial will be held later the same day at 3 p.m. at Glenn Abbey Memorial Park, 3838 Bonita Road, Bonita. All PSAR members are invited to attend.

Tracy Charles Clark was born on March 11, 1955, in Albany, Wisconsin. He attended high school in Wisconsin and graduated from a college in Illinois. He married Silvia Clark on March 26, 1983. Silvia is a PSAR member and REALTOR® in San Diego.

Mr. Clark is survived by his wife Silvia, daughters Kimberly Clark Underwood, Lindsey Clark and Ashley Clark and 1 granddaughter Clark Mercy Underwood.

His family reports that Mr. Clark stayed strong in his faith in God through his illness. Until his last breath, he never wavered in believing in God’s goodness and faithfulness to his family. His legacy will include as a man of honor and integrity who loved God and his family.

Topics: Announcements, Leadership

STRONG SALES DESPITE TIGHTER INVENTORY, HIGHER INTEREST RATES

Posted by Rick Griffin on Dec 23, 2021 4:45:24 PM

November Housing Market Statistics

Even with low housing inventory and slightly higher interest rates, California’s housing market continued a strong sales pace in November 2021, while remaining above pre-pandemic levels, according to the latest home sales and price report from the California Association of REALTORS® (C.A.R.).

Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes statewide on a seasonally adjusted annualized rate rose 4.7 percent on a monthly basis in November 2021 to 454,450 units, compared to 434,170 in October 2021. The November 2021 sales pace was down 10.7 percent from a year ago in November 2020, when 508,820 homes were sold on an annualized basis.

The statewide annualized sales figure, collected from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations and MLSs statewide, represents what would be the total number of homes sold during 2021 if sales maintained the November pace throughout the year. It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales.

Despite the fifth straight month for a year-over-year sales decrease, statewide home sales maintained a 10.6 percent increase on a year-over-year basis.

In San Diego, home sales were lower in November 2021 in month-over-month and year-over-year comparisons. San Diego home sales in November 2021 declined 6.1 percent compared to October 2021, and 6.6 percent lower than November 2020.

November 2021 County Sales and Price Activity
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)
November 2021 County Sales and Price Activity

Meanwhile, the California median home price dipped below the $800,000 benchmark for the second straight month in November 2021 to $782,480, a 2 percent drop from $798,440 in October 2021. The statewide November 2021 median price was 11.9 percent higher than the $698,980 recorded in November 2020. The 2 percent price decline was higher than the 0.1 percent average recorded between October and November in the past 42 years, and it’s consistent with the five-year average logged between 2016 and 2020.

In San Diego, the median sales price for an existing, single-family detached home was $847,750 in November 2021, a 0.3 percent decrease compared to $850,000 in October 2021. The November 2021 median price was 14.6 percent higher than a year ago at $740,000 in November 2020, nearly a $100,000 increase in one year.

“As we move further into the off-peak homebuying season, slowly rising interest rates will motivate savvy buyers to enter the market," said 2022 C.A.R. President Otto Catrina, a Bay Area real estate broker and REALTOR®. “With fewer active buyers in the market during the holidays, prospective buyers who may have taken a breather during the heated peak homebuying months can take advantage of this window of opportunity when there’s less competition and more homes to choose from.”

 “California’s winter housing market remains unseasonably resilient, despite market challenges of a lack of inventory, modest interest rate increases, and ongoing affordability issues,” C.A.R. Vice President and Chief Economist Jordan Levine said. “While we believe the market will continue to do well in 2022 as the economy further recovers, a widening imbalance between supply and demand will put upward pressure on prices and create headwinds for housing affordability that could slow sales in the upcoming year.”

Other key points from C.A.R.’s November 2021 resale housing report include:

-- At the regional level, four of the five major regions recorded a sales decline in a year-over-year comparison in November 2021.

-- Nearly two-thirds of all counties (32 of 51) had a year-over-year decrease in closed sales in November, with 16 counties declining by more than 10 percent from a year ago.

-- All major regions posted solid home price gains from a year ago, with four of them recording double-digit, year-over-year median price increases. The San Francisco Bay Area (18.2 percent) had the largest increase of all regions, followed by Southern California (14.0 percent).

-- Market competitiveness was less heated than a few months ago but remained elevated in November. Nearly two-thirds of homes (59.2 percent) sold above the asking price, but that was the lowest level in nine months. November was the 14th consecutive month since September 2020 that more than half of the homes sold above the asking price.

-- While the statewide median sales-price-to-list-price ratio remained above 100 percent, November’s number was the lowest level since March 2021. The sales-to-list-price ratio is an indicator that reflects the negotiation power of home buyers and sellers under current market conditions. The ratio, expressed as a percentage, is calculated by dividing the final sales price of a property by its last list price. A sales-to-list ratio with 100 percent or above suggests that the property sold for more than the list price, while a ratio below 100 percent indicates that the price sold below the asking price.

November 2021 County Unsold Inventory and Days on Market
(Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted)
November 2021 County Unsold Inventory and Days on Market

-- The inventory of available homes for sale in San Diego County in November 2021 was 1.3 months, compared to 1.5 months in October 2121 and 1.6 months a year ago in November 2020. Numbers from previous months in 2021 included: September, 1.6; August, 1.7; July, 1.7. Statewide, the unsold inventory of homes was 1.6 months in November, compared to 1.8 months in October 2021 and 1.9 months in November 2020. It was the second straight month for a month-to-month drop statewide. Overall for the 2021 year, active listings fell 22.4 percent from 2020. Inventory levels indicate the number of months it would take for the available supply of homes on the market to sell-out given the current rate of sales.

--The median number of days it took to sell an existing, single-family home in San Diego County in November 2021 was nine days, which was the same number in October and September 2021. A year ago, in November and October 2020, the number was seven days. The nine-day figure compares to seven days in July 2021, six days in June 2021, and seven days in May 2021. The median represents a time when half the homes sell above it and half below it.

-- Statewide, the median number of days it took to sell a California single-family home remained at 11 days in November 2021, unchanged from October 2021. The 11-day figure compares to 10 days in September 2021 and nine days in November 2020.

-- The 30-year, fixed-mortgage interest rate averaged 3.07 percent in November, up from 2.77 percent in November 2020, according to Freddie Mac. The five-year, adjustable mortgage interest rate averaged 2.51 percent, compared to 3.0 percent in November 2020.

Topics: Brokers/Managers, Market Information

Winners of the 2021 REALTOR®, Broker/Office Manager & Affiliate awards

Posted by Rick Griffin on Dec 2, 2021 1:59:27 PM

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Congratulations to the recipients of the 2021 REALTOR®, Broker/Office Manager & Affiliate of The Year Awards! They will be honored at the R.E.A.L. Awards event early next year.

Honoring PSAR members who empower all REALTORS® through selfless contributions to our industry

2021 REALTOR® of the Year Award recipients:

denisse

Denisse Roland Newell
Central San Diego

Amber

Amber Tannehill
East San Diego

Charmaine

Charmaine Orcino-Gonzales
South San Diego

 

2021 Broker/Office Manager of the Year Award recipients:

mauricio
Mauricio Perez-Vazquez
Central San Diego
jeff
Jeff Campbell
East San Diego
Bob.
Bob Olivieri
South San Diego

 

2021 Affiliate of the Year Award recipients:

Karen
Karen Buelterman
Central San Diego
debra
Debra Yatsko
East San Diego
Andrea
Andrea Martino
South San Diego


More Criteria Information and Past Recipients

These award recipients were announced at the past week's Installation Dinner to honor the board of directors and chairs that served PSAR last year and incoming 2021 directors.

The primary mission of the Pacific Southwest Association of REALTORS® (PSAR) is to empower REALTORS® to achieve their business goals. The R.E.A.L. awards are a tangible recognition of the highest level of REALTORS® business achievement by agents, brokers and teams over the prior year.

“A hearty congratulations to everyone who received a special annual award,” said Ditas Yamane, 2021 PSAR President. “PSAR's mission is to empower REALTORS® to flourish while being accountable to each other, our clients, and our community. All these award winners embody our mission. I am so very proud of everyone.”

___________________________

Since 1928, the Pacific Southwest Association of REALTORS® has played a significant role in shaping the history, growth and development of the Real Estate industry in San Diego County.

Topics: Announcements, Events, Leadership